The Climate Prediction Center has issued an El Nino Watch.
3 strikes and the models are out. Out of their wheel-house.
The end of the week needs to be monitored for winter storm of SOME TYPE in parts of the SE USA.
Not a lot of warm weather the next 2 or 3 weeks, but no long lasting deep freeze.
Colder than normal temperatures close out February and start March.
Winter not over yet.
Preliminary snow and ice (note does not show sleet)
Rough guidelines important reminders on ice storms, snow.
The Clipper front, the upper low and the surface storm walk into a bar.
Officials must take into account snowfall statistics in planning. Snow and ice are not that rare.